I know, I know. Tallies are just a snapshot… nothing absolute… merely indicative etc. I accept they are for political science what weather vanes and bird flight were for pre-satellite meteorologists. Tallies give you a sense of things if not a detailed map of how it’s all shaking out.
So (sharp in-take of breath), with all the usual health warnings attached, the TUV performed significantly well (12%). I hear Nicholson is snapping up a good chunk of No1s, and that the DUP and UUP are level (on c.16%).
According to what I hear:
- The UUP lead in Lagan Valley, Upper Bann, South Down, North Down, FST, South Belfast, Newry & Armagh and West Tyrone.
- The DUP lead in East Londonderry, North Belfast and (just about) East Belfast.
- TUV lead in North Antrim and Mid Ulster.
- Strangford, South Antrim and East Antrim too close to call.
Don’t ask me for sharp metrics, tallies & exit polls are often just held together by cobwebs and magic. But the sources of this info are credible/informed – but are they right? How does that sound?
Information am also picking up suggests that (in answer to my last post) SDLP people are privately accepting they won’t win a seat. Is this the experience of others?